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Topic : Re: How difficult is it to get published? - The Objective Version Possible Duplicate: Does anyone know the average number of times a new author has to submit before acceptance? I've - selfpublishingguru.com

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There is absolutely no way to give a truly objective answer to this question, which is exactly why you keep seeing subjective responses. We have determined through other posts that about 1 author in 1000 will be offered a contract for representation from an agent. That still doesn't guarantee even then that the book will get published.

There are just too many factors that can influence the final answer, such as the genre of the book, the hot trends at the time the book is submitted, and the timing in general. If you submit a suspense novel at the same time that three top selling authors in that genre are pushing new works, then publishers may consider the market to be "saturated", which is a polite way of saying you don't have a chance in hell at competing with those three established authors.

The fact that agents and publishers do not keep track of the number of manuscripts they review OR reject makes it virtually impossible to determine a truly objective number. Even the numbers you offer were derived after making certain assumptions, so you are already working with a subjective hypothesis.


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